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Real Options Valuation: The Importance of Stochastic Process Choice in Commodity Price Modelling
Barnes and Noble
Real Options Valuation: The Importance of Stochastic Process Choice in Commodity Price Modelling
Current price: $84.99
Barnes and Noble
Real Options Valuation: The Importance of Stochastic Process Choice in Commodity Price Modelling
Current price: $84.99
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The Author shows that modelling the uncertain cash flow dynamics of an investment project deserves careful attention in real options valuation. Focusing on the case of commodity price uncertainty, a broad empirical study reveals that, contrary to common assumptions, prices are often non-stationary and exhibit non-normally distributed returns. Subsequently, more realistic shastic volatility, jump diffusion, and Lévy processes are evaluated in the context of a stylised investment project. The valuation results suggest that shastic process choice can have substantial implications for valuation results and optimal investment rules.